The results of the Bihar Assembly Elections (2025) will be announced on November 14. This year, many local strongmen (known as bahubalis) contested the election, or their relatives ran in constituencies where they couldn’t. Before the results, exit poll numbers are emerging. Based on the data from the AI Politics exit poll, we have assessed the likely outcomes in seats linked to these influential figures.
Key Seats and Contenders
| Constituency | District | Candidate/Affiliation | Party |
| Raghunathpur | Siwan | Osama Shahab (Son of Shahabuddin) | RJD |
| Ekma | Saran | Manjunath Singh alias Dhumal Singh | JDU |
| Lalganj | Vaishali | Shivani Shukla (Daughter of Munna Shukla) | BJP |
| Mokama | Patna | Anant Singh | JDU |
| Digha (Danapur) | Patna | Reetlal Yadav | RJD |
Exit Poll Predictions
The AI Politics exit poll suggests a mix of victories on these contested seats:
- Raghunathpur (Siwan): RJD is projected to win.
- Ekma (Saran): RJD is projected to win.
- Lalganj (Vaishali): BJP is projected to win.
- Mokama (Patna): RJD is projected to win.
- Digha (Danapur): BJP is projected to win.
Key Battles and Surprises
- Raghunathpur: Osama Shahab (RJD) is expected to win against JDU’s Vikas Singh alias Jishu Singh.
- Ekma: RJD’s Shrikant Yadav, the current MLA, is challenging JDU’s Manjunath Singh alias Dhumal Singh and is projected to win.
- Lalganj: Shivani Shukla (BJP) is predicted to win against her opponent.
- Mokama: The exit poll indicates that Anant Singh (JDU) may lose. He is in a contest against RJD’s Veena Devi, who is the wife of strongman Surajbhan Singh. The prediction of Anant Singh’s loss is considered a potential shock but the article notes this possibility is quite low.
- Digha (Danapur): The exit poll suggests that BJP’s Ram Kripal Yadav is poised to defeat RJD’s Reetlal Yadav, the sitting MLA.
Overall, the data from these five seats suggests that RJD could win three seats and BJP could win two seats. The final results will reveal the accuracy of these numbers on November 14th.